The latest Gallup poll weekly tracking poll found that Republicans hold a 10-percentage-point lead among registered voters in 2010 congressional voting preferences.
Gallup’s bottom line:
The last Gallup weekly generic ballot average before Labor Day underscores the fast-evolving conventional wisdom that the GOP is poised to make significant gains in this fall’s midterm congressional elections. Gallup’s generic ballot has historically proven an excellent predictor of the national vote for Congress, and the national vote in turn is an excellent predictor of House seats won and lost. Republicans’ presumed turnout advantage, combined with their current 10-point registered-voter lead, suggests the potential for a major “wave” election in which the Republicans gain a large number of seats from the Democrats and in the process take back control of the House.
If Republicans do indeed ride a wave that wipes out the Democratic majority in the House, they reportedly plan a wave of congressional investigations. If the subpoenas start to fly next year, Obama administration officials will be singing: You ain’t nothing but a hound dog snooping around my email and ICE memo.